Analysis · Forbes ·

Apple overtakes Nvidia as world's most valuable company amid AI-spending rotation

Apple closed July 17 with a $4.88 trillion market cap, edging past Nvidia's $4.86 trillion, as Nvidia shares slid roughly 3.5% and chip stocks posted their worst week in over a year. It is Apple's first time back on top since April 2025, driven by a 22-23% year-to-date rally versus Nvidia's roughly 7%.

Based on reporting by Forbes — analysis by dalili

The swap reflects a broader rotation among technology investors: for two years the market rewarded companies building AI infrastructure — chips, data centers, networking — and Nvidia rode that wave to become the first company past $5 trillion in October. Now the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has fallen almost 19% from its highs, and investors are asking whether the AI infrastructure buildout will translate into near-term profit, rotating instead toward companies seen as AI beneficiaries with lower capital intensity.

Apple fits that profile: the company spent just $12.7 billion on capex in fiscal 2025 while generating $98.8 billion in free cash flow, avoiding the AI infrastructure spending race entirely while still benefiting from consumer AI demand. Apple's own AI push — a rebuilt Siri now powered by Google's Gemini technology — received broadly positive early reviews and helped drive the rally, alongside strong iPhone sales (up 22% in fiscal Q2) and reports of an expanded upcoming lineup. The gap between the two stocks had already narrowed to roughly $190 billion earlier in the week before flipping entirely on Friday's session.

The milestone also lands during a leadership transition at Apple, with CEO Tim Cook set to move to an executive chairman role in September, handing the top job to hardware engineering chief John Ternus.

Key takeaways

  • Apple's market cap hit $4.88T, edging past Nvidia's $4.86T after a 3.5% Nvidia share slide
  • Apple spent just $12.7B in capex in FY2025 vs generating $98.8B in free cash flow — avoiding the AI infrastructure spending race
  • Chip stocks posted their worst week in over a year as investors rotate toward lower-capex AI beneficiaries

Why it matters

The market just told the AI industry that infrastructure spending alone no longer guarantees the crown — capital discipline and proven consumer AI demand are now weighted as heavily as raw compute buildout.

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